11Alive's Fantasy Football Blog

Odds are good you had your fantasy draft on Labor Day or before — if you’re unlucky, you had it in the first half of August. In the intervening time, you’ve watched the NFL news wires like a hawk (perhaps even a Seahawk), making sure your players are ready for the upcoming season.

And you’ve had time to stew.

Producer Alexander Quince, during both the drafts he and I participated in, had this maxim:

Think long, think wrong!

That particular aphorism can be applied to lineups as well. Tonight is the first game of the season, and it’s likely either you or your opponent has one Steeler or one Titan playing tonight. If you drafted Chris Johnson, you’re wondering if you should sit him against Pittsburgh’s vaunted defense, perhaps starting Brian Westbrook and Ray Rice instead. Or maybe you have Santonio Holmes as one of your wide receivers and you’re worried that Wes Welker, who’s playing Monday night and is also on your team, might sit with an injury. Do you start Holmes, or do you gamble on Welker?

It’s enough to give even a casual fantasy player fits.

So don’t worry about it.

Go with your stars in week one. If you have Johnson, Westbrook, and Rice, you start Johnson and Westbrook, with Rice in the flex (if you have one). You don’t sit Johnson just because he’s playing a good defense. And you know how Bill Belichick is with injuries; Wes Welker will play on Monday — that’s five days away. Start Welker and whoever your #2 is (Ochocinco or Cotchery or whomever you picked), and let Santonio Holmes sit on the end of your bench.

I’m active in several fantasy football communities, and I’ve dispensed the same advice for the past week: start your starters unless they’re clearly ruled out. Obviously you don’t start Pierre Thomas or Marshawn Lynch — Thomas is injured and Lynch is suspended — but if you drafted McNabb as your starting QB, you don’t sit him just because Carolina’s got a good defense or because your backup (say, Carson Palmer) has a good matchup.

There are situations in which you want to play matchups — if your QBs are David Garrard and Joe Flacco, or if you went WR-heavy early and only have Kevin Smith, Darren McFadden, and Cedric Benson as your RBs. But if you have a well-balanced team, you start your starters in week one.

For reference, here’s my starting lineups in week one:

11Alive League:
QB: Jay Cutler
RB: Steve Slaton, Brian Westbrook
WR: Wes Welker, Hines Ward
Flex: Ray Rice
TE: Visanthe Shiancoe
D: Patriots
K: Jeff Reed
Bench: K.Walter, D.Mason, F.Jackson, C.Pennington, B.Celek, L.Betts, C.Henry(CIN)

Chesley’s League:
QB: Jay Cutler
RB: LaDainian Tomlinson, Brian Westbrook
WR: Wes Welker, Hines Ward, Kevin Walter
TE: Visanthe Shiancoe
D: Patriots
K: Kris Brown
Bench: P.Thomas, R.Rice, D.Mason, J.Flacco, D.Bess

See anyone on either bench that deserves to start over who’s already in there? My only question would be to possibly start Mason over Walter in Chesley’s league, but I have my reasons for picking Kevin Walter — specifically, he benefits from double-coverage against Andre Johnson, and if Johnson goes down, Walter will rarely face double-coverage.

There are compelling arguments for starting most of my bench players — Mason is a reception machine, Flacco has a great matchup, Rice (in Chesley’s league) also has an easy matchup, Fred Jackson is starting this week — but why start them over guys I picked sooner.

Everyone calm down. Start your starters. You’ll be happier in the long run.